Showing posts with label forex today. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forex today. Show all posts

Friday, August 7, 2015

EUR/USD strategy based on August 7th NFP Data

 US Non farm payrolls and employment report data 7 August 2015

  • Prior 223k. Prior revised to 231k, average number close to previous
  • Unemployment rate 5.3% vs 5.3% exp. Prior 5.3%
  • Average hourly earnings 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.0%
  • 2.1% vs 2.3% exp y/y. Prior 2.0%
  • Avg working hours 34.6 vs 34.5 exp. Prior 34.5
  • Participation rate 62.6% vs 62.6% exp. Prior 62.6%
  • Private payrolls 210k vs 212k exp. Prior 223k. Revised to 227k
  • Manufacturing payrolls 15k vs 5k exp. Prior 4k. revised to 2k
  • Government payrolls 5k vs 0k prior. Revised to 2k
  • U6 unemployment rate 10.4% vs 10.5% exp. Prior 10.5
On the face of it it's an on the money number but the revision is adding some positivity. The working hours tick up is the first jump for 4 months
We look to be trading some relief that things aren't worse, rather than because it's a great report. It's actually a steady number but I'll get the rest of the details up so we can have a look
 EURUSD has fallen to 1.0861 which is old support. 1.0840/45 is another level to watch if we carry on lower and the big level is 1.0820/25. Far below support 3 lines on  1.0800/1.0780 area. It need close above 1.0900 area to counter bearish trend

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

EUR/USD Signal

US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
Bearish, while EUR/USD below 1.4330 is bearish 
kijun:1.4172 (use as resistant )
tenkan:1.4128 (use as resistant )

1.4285-1.4330 is curent strong resistant
kijun above tenkan mean bearish

follow trend
sell while below 1.4172 SL 1.4325 TP 1.4100 TP 1.4030
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550 
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550

counter trend
buy 1.3985 SL 1.3920 TP 1.4050 TP 1.4120

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
Bearish, while EUR/USD below 1.4330 is bearish 
kijun:1.4265 (use as resistant )
tenkan:1.4161 

1.4290-1.4330 is curernt strong resistant
kijun above tenkan mean bearish

follow trend
sell while below 1.4260 SL 1.4325 TP 1.4180 TP 1.4125
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550 
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550

counter trend
buy 1.4015 SL 1.3945 TP 1.4050 TP 1.4100

Monday, September 5, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy

US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
Fully-Bearish, while EUR/USD below 1.4330 is bearish
kijun:1.4319 (use as resistant )
tenkan:1.4200 (use as resistant )

1.4319-1.4330 is curernt strong resistant
kijun above tenkan mean bearsih

follow trend
sell while below 1.4200 SL 1.4325 TP 1.4180 TP 1.4150
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550

counter trend
buy 1.4077 SL 1.4050 TP 1.4100 TP 1.4135

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy

US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
SIDEWAY
tenkan:14458 
kijun:1.4435 
range between tenkan and kijun is near mean sideway and perhaps contraction widen when ADP news anouncement a ferw hours letter
senkaou span A-span B bull: lying between 1.4433-1.4265 (range widen), broke 1.4433 is the key for brekhigh or down


follow trend
buy above 1.4431 TP 1.4460 TP 1.4500
sell 1.4420 TP 1.4400 TP 1.4395

counter trend
sell 1.4550-1.4575 TP 1.4450


Monday, August 29, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy

US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
BULLISH
tenkan:14515 
kijun:1.4435 (support)

senkaou span A-span B bull: lying between 1.4433-1.4265 (range widen), broke 1.4433 is the key for brekhigh or down


follow trend
buy above 1.4435 TP 1.4515 TP 1.4545

counter trend
sell 1.4585-1.4615 TP 1.4550 1.45

Thursday, August 25, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy

EUROPE-US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
BULLISH, while EUR/USD below 1.4350 is neutral-bearish and turn into neutral-bullish while close above 1.4363 and bullish above 1.4433
tenkan:1.4425-1.4433 (now pivot)
kijun:1.4379 (now support)
senkaou span A-span B bull: lying between 1.4433-1.4265 (range widen), broke 1.4433 is the key for brekhigh or down
tenkan is above kijun mean strong bullish, but while tenkan is broken low (now support) it would be more down till kijun hold

follow trend
buy above 1.4356 TP 1.4400 TP 1.4430 and hold buy or reenter buy while breakhigh 1.4433 TP 1.4450-1.4480
sell when broke 1.4430 TP 1.4405 TP 1.4390

counter trend
sell 1.4495-1.4530 TP 1.4433 1.4405
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy


EUROPE-US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
BULLISH, while EUR/USD below 1.4350 is neutral-bearish and turn into neutral-bullish while close above 1.4363 and bullish above 1.4433
tenkan:1.4425-1.4433 (now pivot)
kijun:1.4379 (now support)
senkaou span A-span B bull: lying between 1.4433-1.4265 (range widen), broke 1.4433 is the key for brekhigh or down
tenkan is above kijun mean strong bullish, but while tenkan is broken low (now support) it would be more down till kijun hold

follow trend
buy above 1.4356 TP 1.4400 TP 1.4430 and hold buy or reenter buy while breakhigh 1.4433 TP 1.4450-1.4480
sell when broke 1.4430 TP 1.4405 TP 1.4390

counter trend
sell 1.4495-1.4530 TP 1.4433 1.4405
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy

EUROPE-US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
BULLISH, while EUR/USD below 1.4250 is bearish and turn into neutral-bullish while close above 1.4363 and bullish above 1.4433
tenkan:1.4424-1.4433 (now support) 
kijun:1.4389 (now support)
senkaou span A: lying between 1.4433-1.4260 (range widen), broke 1.4433 is the key for brekhigh or down
tenkan is above kijun mean strong bullish, but while tenkan is broken low (now support) it would be more down till kijun hold

follow trend
buy above 1.4356 TP 1.4400 TP 1.4430 and hold buy or reenter buy while breakhigh 1.4433 TP 1.4490/1.4515
sell when broke 1.4430 TP 1.4405 TP 1.4395

counter trend
sell 1.4495-1.4530 TP 1.4433 1.4405
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550 
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550

Monday, August 22, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy

US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
SIDEWAY-BULLISH, while EUR/USD below 1.4250 is bearish and turn into neutral-bullish while close above 1.4363
tenkan:1.4356
kijun:1.4388
senkaou span A: lying between 1.4433-1.4316 (range shortenn)
tenkan and kijun crossed twice at 1.4255 it mean while eur/usd close above it sign bullish and kijun crossed tenkan at 1.4390, it sign can turn into bearish short term while close below 1.4390
chinkau span at 1.4508, fully bullish while close above 1.4508/15

follow trend
buy above 1.4356 TP 1.4400 TP 1.4430
sell when broke 1.4345 TP 1.4319 TP 1.4305

counter trend
sell 1.4450-1.4508 TP 1.4390 1.4375
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550

Friday, August 19, 2011

EUR/USD Signal

Europe-US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
Bearish, while EUR/USD below 1.42991 is bearish and turn into neutral-bullish while close above 1.4363
tenkan:1.4363
kijun:1.4390 (use as resistant )
senkaou span A: lying between 1.4433-1.4225 (range widen) 1.4225 is curernt strong support
tenkan and kijun crossed at 1.4385 it mean while eur/usd close below it sign bearish

follow trend
sell while below 1.4360 SL 1.4455 TP 1.4300 TP 1.4265
past and main startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550 
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550
counter trend
buy 1.4230 SL 1.4180 TP 1.4310 TP 1.4330

Thursday, August 18, 2011

EUR/USD Signal

Europe-US Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
Neutral-Sidewaywhile EUR/USD below 1.4421 is neutral-bearish and turn into bullish while above 1.4421/1.4433/1.4455
tenkan:1.4421
kijun:1.4330 (use as support )
senkaou span B: lying between 1.4431-1.4255 (normal range)
tenkan and kijun crossed at 1.4290 it mean while eur/usd close above it sign bullish

follow trend
strategy: buy above 1.4335 TP 1.4400 and further more 1.4430 SL 1.4280
sell while breaklow 1.4323 (current strong support) with TP 1.4300 and 1.4295 SL 1.4550

counter trend
startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4540, SL at 1.4550 TP 1.4370 TP 2 1.4295
this scenario fail when broke 1.4550
buy EUR/USD in 1.4298/1.4302 TP 1 1.4330 TP 2 1.4350 SL 1.4250

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

EUR/USD Forex Signal and Strategy

Asian Session-Europe Session Valid
EUR/USD H4
Neutral-Bullish, while EUR/USD below 1.4400 is neutral and turn into bullish while above 1.4415
tenkan:1.4415
kijun:1.4289 (use as support )
senkaou span B: lying between 1.4431-1.4295 (normal range)
tenkan and kijun crossed at 1.4290 it mean while eur/usd close above it sign bullish

follow trend
strategy: buy above 1.4355 TP 1.4400 and further more 1.4430 SL 1.4280
sell while breaklow 1.4350 (current strong support) with TP 1.4330 and 1.4295 SL 1.4550

counter trend
startegy: sell on rallies while EUR/USD could'nt broke 1.4480, SL at 1.4550 TP 1.4370 TP 2 1.4295
this scenario fail when broke 1.4545
buy EUR/USD in 1.4298/1.4302 TP 1 1.4330 TP 2 1.4350 SL 1.4250

Monday, June 27, 2011

EUR/USD Signal

pending buy order at 1.4360 TP1 1.4400 TP2 1.4410 SL 1.4245
pending sell order at 1.4240 TP1 1.4215 TP2 1.4205 SL 1.4355

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

EUR/USD Signal

Sell Stop 1.3140 SL 1.3225 TP 1.3117 TP2 1.3105
Buy Limit 1.3097 SL 1.3015 TP 1 1.3180 TP2 1.3220 (Long Term)

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

EUR/USD Signal

New York Season Market

Buy @ 1.2872 TP 1 1.2900 TP 2 1.2911 SL 1.2802
Sell @ 1.2800 TP 1.2787 TP 2 1.2738 SL 1.2872

Monday, September 6, 2010

EUR/USD Signal

London Session
Buy @ 1.2905 TP 1 1.2925 TP 2 1.2935 SL 1.2870
Sell @1.2857 TP 1 1.2836 TP 2 1.2817 SL 1.2897

Friday, July 23, 2010

EUR/USD Signal

New York Season
Sell @ 1.2889 TP1 @ 1.2859 TP2@ 1.2835
Buy: @ 1.2930 TP1 @1.2960 TP2@ 1.3000

Thursday, July 22, 2010

EUR/USD Signal

After experiencing bearish sentiment due to stress concerns that banks will be held Friday, EUR / USD has rebounded to levels 1.28xx after European PMI data, Germany and the French showed a very positive outcome, if the Euro remains consistent at this level then the bullish trend will continue. But the bank stressed pressure will remain alight until the outcome is clear.

Signals on the New York Season:
TP Buy@1.2845 1@1.2887 TP2@1.2895
TP TP Sell@1.2812 1@1.2772 2@1.2737

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Forex Signal (EUR/USD)

Asian Market Session
after Europe to provide assistance in the repayment of Greece in a very large number (resource: Bloomberg), the Euro rose to 1.3678 range in the Asian market session. This gives two possibilities: EURO will continue to strengthen until to 1.37 or retrace to 1.35, it is very difficult to predict because we do not yet know the reaction of the markets in London and New York session. But I feel EURO will retrace first which then may be raised at the London session

Pivot
R-4 1.3799
R-3 1.3697
R-2 1.3596
R-1 1.3544
Pivot 1.3443
S-1 1.3391
S-2 1.3290
S-3 1.3238
S-4 1.3187

My recommendation:
BUY@1.3680 SL@1.3623 TP@1.3749 TP2@1.3818
SELL@1.3623 SL@1.3680 TP@1.3575 TP2@1.3548